Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.000856 0.000971 0.001101 0.001258 0.001444 0.001659 0.001928
2025-05-11 0.000684 0.000836 0.001024 0.001278 0.001615 0.002058 0.002695
2025-05-18 0.000584 0.000754 0.000980 0.001309 0.001790 0.002490 0.003632
2025-05-25 0.000517 0.000697 0.000950 0.001344 0.001966 0.002961 0.004778
2025-06-01 0.000454 0.000633 0.000895 0.001325 0.002050 0.003301 0.005830
2025-06-08 0.000411 0.000589 0.000860 0.001327 0.002162 0.003714 0.007176
2025-06-15 0.000377 0.000554 0.000833 0.001335 0.002284 0.004175 0.008828
2025-06-22 0.000352 0.000530 0.000820 0.001363 0.002444 0.004758 0.011066
2025-06-29 0.000328 0.000504 0.000800 0.001374 0.002574 0.005317 0.013570
2025-07-06 0.000314 0.000493 0.000803 0.001427 0.002804 0.006189 0.017607
2025-07-13 0.000288 0.000458 0.000758 0.001378 0.002796 0.006459 0.019860
2025-07-20 0.000270 0.000437 0.000737 0.001376 0.002896 0.007060 0.023866
2025-07-27 0.000258 0.000424 0.000731 0.001409 0.003101 0.008088 0.030951
2025-08-03 0.000245 0.000410 0.000722 0.001434 0.003299 0.009208 0.040202
2025-08-10 0.000235 0.000399 0.000719 0.001470 0.003539 0.010620 0.053743
2025-08-17 0.000225 0.000390 0.000717 0.001511 0.003807 0.012312 0.073290
2025-08-24 0.000212 0.000370 0.000691 0.001489 0.003880 0.013279 0.089989
2025-08-31 0.000201 0.000357 0.000676 0.001491 0.004033 0.014715 0.116384
2025-09-07 0.000193 0.000345 0.000665 0.001501 0.004216 0.016450 0.154448
2025-09-14 0.000186 0.000338 0.000661 0.001533 0.004488 0.018897 0.218544
2025-09-21 0.000179 0.000328 0.000652 0.001546 0.004698 0.021228 0.302025
2025-09-28 0.000175 0.000325 0.000659 0.001608 0.005126 0.025412 0.486734
2025-10-05 0.000164 0.000308 0.000628 0.001551 0.005050 0.026115 0.578631